Macaé Esporte vs Ipatinga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
MAD
1 - 1
MAC
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
MAC
55%
25%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 2
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
MAC
79%
15%
7%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
AME
62%
21%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
IFC
0 - 2
BRA
46%
26%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
IFC
4 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
MAD
0 - 1
IFC
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
IFC
0 - 1
TUP
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
IFC
4 - 0
USC
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |