Macaé Esporte vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
MAC
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 2
JUV
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 1
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
YPI
2 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 1
MOG
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
TOM
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
POR
21%
24%
56%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 0
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
GUA
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 2
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |