MA Olympic vs Northern Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
51.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MA Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
MAO
3 - 0
RGF
55%
20%
25%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
BTO
1 - 2
MAO
24%
21%
55%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BRI
7 - 1
NOF
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NOF
0 - 2
PAL
12%
15%
73%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
NOF
2 - 1
SWQ
47%
20%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
RED
3 - 4
NOF
87%
9%
5%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
NOF
8 - 0
SUN
45%
20%
35%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |