Lyubimets vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyubimets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
DUN
2 - 2
LYU
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
LYU
1 - 1
PAN
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
ROD
0 - 3
LYU
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
LYU
5 - 0
SVA
41%
27%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 0
LYU
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
NES
3 - 0
CHE
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MIN
0 - 2
NES
31%
26%
44%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
NES
1 - 0
DOB
78%
14%
8%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 3
NES
42%
26%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
KAL
1 - 0
NES
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |