Lyuban vs Krutogorye Dzerzhinsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyuban
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
KDR
2 - 1
LYU
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
LYU
3 - 0
YUA
73%
16%
12%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
LYU
2 - 0
VOL
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 2
LYU
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
FKV
4 - 1
LYU
33%
23%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Krutogorye Dzerzhinsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
KRU
2 - 1
FKV
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
KLE
5 - 1
KRU
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
LMI
3 - 0
KRU
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
KRU
1 - 2
FKU
18%
21%
60%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
KRU
0 - 3
TAR
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |