Lyss vs Farvagny / Ogoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
21.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
COL
3 - 0
LYS
50%
23%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LYS
2 - 1
ECH
55%
20%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
STA
2 - 2
LYS
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
LYS
4 - 1
MAR
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LYS
1 - 1
TPA
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Farvagny / Ogoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 1
POR
27%
22%
52%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LOC
3 - 6
FAR
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 1
THI
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BER
0 - 5
FAR
46%
22%
32%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 2
SEC
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |