Lyon-Duchère vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
71.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MGG
3 - 0
LYO
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
LYO
0 - 0
MAR
75%
16%
8%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
FCM
1 - 3
LYO
15%
21%
64%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
JUR
2 - 5
LYO
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
KOE
0 - 4
LYO
6%
12%
82%
|
49 | 7 | 42 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
REI
2 - 0
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ASS
0 - 5
REN
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 0
ASS
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ASS
1 - 3
PSG
9%
16%
76%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
TRO
0 - 1
ASS
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |