Luziânia vs Paracatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luziânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 5
LUZ
47%
27%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
GAM
1 - 0
LUZ
61%
24%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
OPE
1 - 1
LUZ
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
SOB
2 - 2
LUZ
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
LUZ
32%
27%
42%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CEI
1 - 0
PAR
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 1
DOM
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 2
BRA
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
TAG
1 - 2
PAR
82%
13%
5%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | +1 |