Luziânia vs Operário MT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luziânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LUZ
3 - 1
GOI
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 2
LUZ
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
LUZ
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
LUZ
0 - 1
TOM
33%
27%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
LUZ
0 - 1
BRA
36%
26%
37%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Operário MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GRÊ
0 - 3
OPE
47%
26%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 2
LUZ
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
TOM
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
GOI
0 - 2
OPE
56%
24%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LUV
0 - 0
OPE
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |