Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
5º
8º
6º
4
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 38 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 37 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 33 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 32 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 31 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 30 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 30 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
4 | 30 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 28 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 27 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 26 |
12º
|
23% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
52% | 48% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
48% | 52% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
GCZ
2 - 3
FCL
38%
25%
38%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
FCL
3 - 0
RAP
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
ALT
3 - 1
FCL
25%
24%
51%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FCL
0 - 1
KRE
79%
15%
7%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FCL
1 - 1
WIN
48%
24%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
ZUR
2 - 3
SIO
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ULM
3 - 0
ZUR
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
MAG
0 - 2
ZUR
48%
24%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
WIL
1 - 3
ZUR
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
RAP
0 - 2
ZUR
25%
25%
51%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |