Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
FCL
0 - 3
FEY
27%
23%
50%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
STG
2 - 2
FCL
45%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
FCL
3 - 4
YOB
28%
24%
49%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
FCL
2 - 0
WIL
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
GCZ
0 - 2
FCL
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ZUR
3 - 1
LAU
43%
25%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 2
ZUR
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ZUR
1 - 4
NEX
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ZUR
6 - 1
KRI
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
FCV
0 - 0
ZUR
35%
23%
41%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |