Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
FCL
1 - 0
LAU
42%
25%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
STG
0 - 0
FCL
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCL
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
FCL
3 - 4
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LAU
2 - 1
FCL
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
ZUR
1 - 2
YOB
19%
23%
58%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SIO
2 - 2
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ZUR
1 - 2
SER
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
STG
1 - 1
ZUR
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
YOB
4 - 0
ZUR
69%
19%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |