Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GCZ
0 - 1
FCL
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FCL
3 - 1
BAS
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCL
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 1
YOB
31%
23%
46%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
LAU
0 - 1
FCL
29%
26%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
YOB
2 - 3
ZUR
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
ZUR
0 - 1
BYM
17%
21%
62%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ZUR
0 - 2
NEX
74%
18%
8%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
BYM
2 - 0
ZUR
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 2
ZUR
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |