Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
75%
15%
9%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
FCL
2 - 0
SIO
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 1
THU
39%
27%
35%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
FCL
0 - 1
STG
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ZUR
1 - 0
YOB
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
GCZ
0 - 0
ZUR
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
ZUR
2 - 1
SIO
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
THU
0 - 2
ZUR
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
ZUR
3 - 2
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |