Luzern vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 3
FCL
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 2
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FCL
0 - 0
FCV
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SIO
3 - 1
FCL
32%
26%
43%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 2
STG
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
STG
1 - 0
THU
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
STG
2 - 1
THU
42%
26%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
THU
0 - 0
FCA
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SIO
0 - 0
THU
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
THU
3 - 2
GCZ
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |