Luzern vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
THU
1 - 1
FCL
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 3
FCL
66%
19%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 1
GCZ
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 0
LAU
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SIO
2 - 1
FCL
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
STG
3 - 1
YOB
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
STG
1 - 2
ZUR
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LAU
1 - 3
STG
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 3
STG
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
STG
1 - 1
BAS
24%
24%
53%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |