Luzern vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
8º
4º
58
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 2
FCL
22%
25%
54%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 1
STG
39%
24%
38%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
GCZ
2 - 0
FCL
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 2
LUG
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
YOB
5 - 1
FCL
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2023 |
SER
3 - 3
BAS
27%
25%
49%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
WIN
0 - 1
SER
23%
24%
54%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SER
5 - 0
SIO
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GCZ
2 - 3
SER
32%
24%
43%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
STG
31%
24%
45%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |