Swiss Super League Regular Season Round 14

Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis

Luzern FC Lugano
79 ELO 75
-13.5% Tilt 9.6%
277º General ELO ranking 311º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
52%
Luzern
26.9%
Draw
21.1%
FC Lugano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
Luzern
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
21.1%
Win probability
FC Lugano
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luzern
-7%
-12%
FC Lugano

ELO progression

Luzern
FC Lugano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 1993
LAU
Lausanne Sports
0 - 2
Luzern
FCL
42%
27%
31%
79 75 4 0
25 Sep. 1993
FCL
Luzern
5 - 2
Aarau
FCA
51%
28%
22%
78 74 4 +1
11 Sep. 1993
ZUR
Zurich
4 - 0
Luzern
FCL
36%
28%
36%
79 73 6 -1
01 Sep. 1993
FCL
Luzern
2 - 1
SC Kriens
KRI
71%
21%
9%
78 60 18 +1
28 Aug. 1993
YVE
Yverdon
2 - 2
Luzern
FCL
34%
27%
39%
79 69 10 -1

Matches

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 1993
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 0
Lausanne Sports
LAU
52%
26%
22%
75 75 0 0
29 Sep. 1993
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 3
Real Madrid
RMA
24%
26%
51%
75 89 14 0
25 Sep. 1993
LUG
FC Lugano
2 - 2
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
48%
26%
26%
75 76 1 0
22 Sep. 1993
LUG
FC Lugano
2 - 2
Zurich
ZUR
51%
26%
23%
75 75 0 0
15 Sep. 1993
RMA
Real Madrid
3 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
83%
12%
5%
76 89 13 -1