Q. Europa League Playoffs. Final
Global 2-3
Luzern vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 2
GCZ
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 1
STG
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
THU
2 - 1
FCL
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 3
SIO
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 2
FCL
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LIE
1 - 1
GNK
18%
21%
61%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
GNK
1 - 0
LOK
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 2
GNK
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
LEU
2 - 2
GNK
19%
21%
60%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
GNK
2 - 1
FCA
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |