Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
59.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
FCA
0 - 0
FCL
45%
26%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
FCL
3 - 3
GCZ
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
STG
1 - 2
FCL
56%
23%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
FCL
2 - 2
YOB
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2007 |
ZUR
4 - 1
FCL
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
GCZ
2 - 0
BAS
31%
25%
45%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 1
MAT
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 2
SIO
69%
19%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
YOB
5 - 1
BAS
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCA
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |