Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
FCL
1 - 3
LAU
35%
25%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
STG
1 - 1
FCL
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
FCL
2 - 6
SIO
30%
26%
45%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
SER
2 - 0
FCL
71%
17%
11%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
BAS
4 - 5
GCZ
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 2
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCA
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
YOB
2 - 2
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
BAS
5 - 1
NEX
70%
18%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |