Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1994 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCL
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
FCL
0 - 2
LUG
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1994 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCL
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
FCL
0 - 0
LAU
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1994 |
BAS
2 - 1
SER
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 2
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
GCZ
0 - 3
BAS
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 0
NEX
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
STG
0 - 3
BAS
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |