Luverdense vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
CEA
0 - 0
LUV
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
LUV
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
LUV
1 - 0
BRA
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
LUV
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LUV
3 - 1
PAY
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TUP
1 - 1
BRA
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
OES
0 - 0
TUP
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
TUP
1 - 1
LON
36%
29%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 1
TUP
53%
28%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
TUP
0 - 1
BRA
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |