Luverdense vs Nova Mutum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
45.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LUV
0 - 1
BRA
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
LUV
1 - 2
URO
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
URO
2 - 1
LUV
29%
26%
46%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
LUV
1 - 0
URO
55%
23%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
SOR
0 - 3
LUV
17%
20%
63%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NME
2 - 0
ACA
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
LTD
2 - 1
NME
21%
22%
57%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NME
0 - 1
URO
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
DBO
1 - 1
NME
21%
22%
57%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
NME
2 - 2
ACA
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |