Série B Brazil Round 38

Luverdense vs Ceará analysis

Luverdense Ceará
61 ELO 71
0% Tilt -12.8%
4769º General ELO ranking 124º
150º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27.2%
Luverdense
26%
Draw
46.8%
Ceará

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
Luverdense
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
46.8%
Win probability
Ceará
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luverdense
+18%
-5%
Ceará

ELO progression

Luverdense
Ceará
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luverdense
Luverdense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2014
JEC
Joinville
1 - 1
Luverdense
LUV
72%
19%
10%
60 74 14 0
19 Nov. 2014
LUV
Luverdense
1 - 2
América Mineiro
AMF
31%
27%
42%
61 70 9 -1
15 Nov. 2014
NAU
Náutico
1 - 0
Luverdense
LUV
53%
25%
22%
61 61 0 0
09 Nov. 2014
POR
Portuguesa
1 - 0
Luverdense
LUV
56%
24%
20%
61 64 3 0
29 Oct. 2014
LUV
Luverdense
3 - 1
Avaí
AVA
31%
26%
43%
60 67 7 +1

Matches

Ceará
Ceará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2014
CEA
Ceará
2 - 1
Portuguesa
POR
66%
21%
14%
71 65 6 0
19 Nov. 2014
ABC
ABC
1 - 0
Ceará
CEA
32%
27%
42%
72 64 8 -1
15 Nov. 2014
CEA
Ceará
2 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
35%
26%
39%
70 79 9 +2
08 Nov. 2014
CEA
Ceará
0 - 0
Atlético GO
ATL
58%
22%
19%
70 67 3 0
02 Nov. 2014
BOA
Boa EC
3 - 1
Ceará
CEA
27%
27%
47%
71 61 10 -1