Luton Town vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LUT
5 - 1
GAT
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
EBB
2 - 2
LUT
27%
28%
45%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
KID
1 - 2
LUT
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LUT
5 - 1
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
LUT
0 - 1
CAM
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
WRE
4 - 0
STO
64%
23%
13%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
HAY
0 - 2
WRE
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
GAT
1 - 4
WRE
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
WRE
1 - 0
EBB
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
WRE
1 - 3
MAN
45%
26%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |