FA Cup 1/32

Luton Town vs Wolves analysis

Luton Town Wolves
55 ELO 68
3.1% Tilt -2.1%
234º General ELO ranking 51º
23º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
23.7%
Luton Town
23.2%
Draw
53.1%
Wolves

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
Luton Town
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
53.1%
Win probability
Wolves
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Luton Town
Wolves
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luton Town
Luton Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 2013
WOK
Woking
3 - 1
Luton Town
LUT
38%
26%
36%
55 49 6 0
26 Dec. 2012
LUT
Luton Town
3 - 1
Woking
WOK
56%
23%
21%
54 50 4 +1
15 Dec. 2012
MAT
Matlock Town
1 - 2
Luton Town
LUT
22%
24%
55%
54 40 14 0
11 Dec. 2012
NEW
Newport County
5 - 2
Luton Town
LUT
39%
27%
34%
55 50 5 -1
08 Dec. 2012
LUT
Luton Town
3 - 0
Alfreton Town
ALF
62%
22%
17%
55 48 7 0

Matches

Wolves
Wolves
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 2013
CRY
Crystal Palace
3 - 1
Wolves
WOL
45%
27%
28%
69 70 1 0
29 Dec. 2012
WOL
Wolves
0 - 2
Ipswich Town
IPS
63%
21%
17%
70 64 6 -1
26 Dec. 2012
WOL
Wolves
0 - 3
Peterborough United
POS
71%
18%
11%
72 60 12 -2
21 Dec. 2012
BPO
Blackpool
1 - 2
Wolves
WOL
54%
23%
23%
71 72 1 +1
15 Dec. 2012
MID
Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Wolves
WOL
47%
26%
27%
72 73 1 -1
X