Luton Town vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
LUT
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PLY
0 - 1
LUT
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LUT
0 - 1
CRA
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LEY
0 - 1
LUT
51%
24%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
LUT
1 - 0
MOR
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
OXF
1 - 1
STE
71%
20%
10%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
STE
2 - 3
NOR
18%
24%
59%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
WYC
1 - 0
STE
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
STE
0 - 2
OPA
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
STE
0 - 2
EXE
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |