Luton Town vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LUT
2 - 1
WEL
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 1
LUT
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 2
LUT
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
WEL
2 - 1
LUT
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GAT
0 - 0
LUT
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ALD
5 - 1
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 3
HER
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 1
LIN
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LEY
5 - 2
SOU
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 0
CAM
33%
27%
41%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |