Luton Town vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2017 |
LUT
4 - 0
WHU
85%
10%
5%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
GAT
0 - 5
LUT
19%
22%
59%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CRE
1 - 2
LUT
19%
26%
56%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
LUT
3 - 0
CUM
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LUT
7 - 0
CAM
74%
18%
9%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
NOT
3 - 2
OXF
74%
17%
10%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
NOT
2 - 1
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
YEO
1 - 1
NOT
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NOT
3 - 1
CHE
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
STE
1 - 1
NOT
42%
24%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |