Luton Town vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LUT
1 - 1
FUL
28%
26%
47%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BPO
0 - 3
LUT
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
LUT
1 - 2
CAR
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
NTT
0 - 0
LUT
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
QPR
2 - 0
LUT
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
TOW
1 - 0
CUM
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
TRA
1 - 2
TOW
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
SUT
1 - 0
TOW
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
TOW
1 - 2
NOR
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
TOW
1 - 4
FOR
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |