Luton Town vs Grays Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
STE
0 - 1
LUT
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
LUT
4 - 0
SAL
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
LUT
8 - 0
HAY
68%
19%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
EBB
1 - 6
LUT
26%
28%
47%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
LUT
3 - 1
KID
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 0
KET
23%
27%
51%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 4
YOR
22%
28%
51%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CAM
3 - 0
GRA
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 2
STE
15%
23%
62%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
EAS
2 - 2
GRA
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |