Luton Town vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 1
LUT
19%
26%
55%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
PLY
0 - 0
LUT
24%
26%
50%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LUT
2 - 0
ROC
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LUT
1 - 1
COV
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FLE
1 - 2
LUT
25%
26%
49%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
GIL
0 - 1
BRO
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
GIL
1 - 0
OXF
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
FLE
1 - 1
GIL
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
WYC
0 - 1
GIL
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
SUN
4 - 2
GIL
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |