Luton Town vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
LUT
2 - 2
TOT
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
LUT
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
LUT
0 - 2
IPS
44%
24%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
LUT
8 - 2
YEO
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
LUT
0 - 1
LEI
20%
24%
57%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
COL
1 - 1
STE
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
COL
1 - 2
ASV
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
STA
3 - 1
COL
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
COL
0 - 1
IPS
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
LLA
0 - 1
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |