Luton Town vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1952 |
BRE
3 - 3
LUT
56%
23%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1952 |
LUT
3 - 1
SWI
63%
19%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1952 |
LUT
3 - 3
NTT
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1952 |
LUT
1 - 1
HUL
61%
20%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1952 |
BBU
2 - 1
LUT
61%
20%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1952 |
BUR
0 - 1
ARS
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1952 |
LEY
0 - 3
ARS
30%
25%
46%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1952 |
ARS
3 - 3
PNE
73%
15%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1952 |
TOT
1 - 2
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1952 |
ARS
2 - 2
MAC
77%
14%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |