Luton Town vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
LUT
1 - 2
DAR
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
LUT
2 - 2
BRE
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
BRA
1 - 1
LUT
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
LUT
1 - 1
CHE
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ROT
1 - 0
LUT
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
STA
2 - 3
BRA
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 1
STA
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
STA
1 - 3
ROC
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
DAR
3 - 0
STA
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
STA
1 - 1
NOT
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |