Lusitanos vs Principat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
INT
2 - 4
LUS
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
LUS
0 - 4
SJU
28%
25%
48%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2001 |
FCE
1 - 0
LUS
63%
19%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
FCR
3 - 1
LUS
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
LUS
2 - 0
SES
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Principat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
PRI
0 - 1
FCR
55%
22%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
SCO
6 - 1
PRI
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
SES
0 - 4
PRI
41%
23%
35%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
PRI
5 - 2
INT
31%
24%
45%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2001 |
FCE
2 - 0
PRI
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |