Lusitania FC vs Marítimo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 2
LUS
6%
13%
81%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LUS
2 - 1
AMA
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
GON
1 - 2
LUS
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 0
LUS
45%
27%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
RDA
0 - 0
LUS
34%
27%
40%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
CES
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LEC
2 - 2
MAR
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CIN
3 - 2
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
PEN
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |