Lusitania FC vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 3
LUS
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LUS
2 - 1
PED
43%
25%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
COI
2 - 1
LUS
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CES
0 - 0
LUS
59%
23%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 2
PEN
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GAF
2 - 1
COI
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 2
GAF
47%
28%
25%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LEC
1 - 2
GAF
12%
22%
66%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GAF
2 - 1
CES
34%
27%
40%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
GDR
0 - 2
GAF
23%
22%
55%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |