Lusitania FC vs Canelas 2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ANA
2 - 1
LUS
36%
28%
36%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
FAF
2 - 3
LUS
46%
27%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 3
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
LUS
26%
27%
47%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LUS
2 - 0
VSC
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
PEV
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FEL
2 - 1
CAN
54%
25%
21%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 1
CAN
57%
23%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 2
FAF
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
CAN
43%
28%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |