Lusitania FC vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 0
CAN
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
LUS
2 - 0
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 1
LUS
35%
28%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 1
LUS
39%
28%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
LUS
34%
28%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
AMA
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
AMA
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 1
LUS
35%
28%
37%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 0
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 2
AMA
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |