Lushnja vs AF Elbasani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+219%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
12º
10º
79
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lushnja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
BES
4 - 3
LUS
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 3
APO
38%
28%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 0
KFV
41%
23%
36%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 0
KFS
25%
28%
48%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ORI
4 - 2
LUS
33%
27%
41%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
ELB
3 - 2
VOR
8%
15%
78%
|
10 | 49 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
KRU
1 - 1
ELB
84%
11%
4%
|
10 | 55 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ELB
4 - 1
LUZ
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 50 | 43 | +3 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
KFS
2 - 2
ELB
81%
13%
6%
|
7 | 58 | 51 | 0 |