Tennent's Irish Cup . Semi-finals

Lurgan Celtic vs Bangor analysis

Lurgan Celtic Bangor
50 ELO 54
10.4% Tilt 12.5%
30359º General ELO ranking 2082º
51º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.2%
Lurgan Celtic
23.2%
Draw
47.5%
Bangor

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
Lurgan Celtic
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47.5%
Win probability
Bangor
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Lurgan Celtic
Bangor
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lurgan Celtic
Lurgan Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2015
LCE
Lurgan Celtic
4 - 0
Ardglass FC
AFC
86%
11%
4%
48 11 37 0
28 Nov. 2015
BAN
Bangor
0 - 3
Lurgan Celtic
LCE
66%
19%
15%
47 56 9 +1
14 Nov. 2015
LCE
Lurgan Celtic
2 - 3
Larne
LAR
37%
25%
39%
47 50 3 0
07 Nov. 2015
ARC
Armagh City
6 - 0
Lurgan Celtic
LCE
41%
24%
35%
48 47 1 -1
24 Oct. 2015
LCE
Lurgan Celtic
1 - 1
Harland & Wolff Welders
HAR
32%
25%
43%
48 55 7 0

Matches

Bangor
Bangor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2015
ARD
Ards FC
2 - 1
Bangor
BAN
47%
24%
29%
55 57 2 0
08 Dec. 2015
BAN
Bangor
5 - 0
Coagh United
COA
82%
13%
6%
54 25 29 +1
28 Nov. 2015
BAN
Bangor
0 - 3
Lurgan Celtic
LCE
66%
19%
15%
56 47 9 -2
14 Nov. 2015
ARC
Armagh City
3 - 4
Bangor
BAN
32%
24%
44%
54 48 6 +2
07 Nov. 2015
BAN
Bangor
1 - 0
Institute
INS
66%
19%
15%
54 45 9 0
X