Lurgan Celtic vs Ardglass FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
3.7%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 3
LCE
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LCE
2 - 3
LAR
37%
25%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ARC
6 - 0
LCE
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LCE
1 - 1
HAR
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 3
LCE
39%
25%
37%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ardglass FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
AFC
4 - 3
CRE
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
GLE
3 - 2
AFC
84%
11%
6%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CAY
3 - 5
AFC
31%
23%
46%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |