Luna CD vs Bardena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luna CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BIO
3 - 3
LUN
34%
21%
45%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
LUN
8 - 1
ALE
72%
15%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LUN
3 - 2
UCA
57%
20%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 0
LUN
36%
22%
43%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
REM
3 - 4
LUN
62%
19%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PIN
1 - 1
BAR
26%
21%
53%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
BOR
70%
16%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
REM
2 - 0
BAR
35%
22%
44%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
TOR
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PUY
2 - 2
BAR
31%
21%
48%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |