CD Lugo vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
49.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 0
SEG
51%
26%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
PON
1 - 0
LUG
36%
27%
38%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
LUG
2 - 1
FUE
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
SSR
3 - 0
LUG
50%
26%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2000 |
PPJ
4 - 0
LUG
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
RMC
5 - 1
CDO
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
SEG
1 - 0
RMC
18%
25%
57%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
RMC
2 - 2
AVI
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
PON
2 - 2
RMC
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
CUL
2 - 1
RMC
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |