CD Lugo vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ATB
0 - 0
LUG
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ROD
1 - 0
LUG
25%
25%
49%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 0
LUG
19%
22%
59%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 0
CEL
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 1
RAC
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
OVI
3 - 0
CEL
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CDT
1 - 0
OVI
26%
29%
46%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
OVI
5 - 0
LEG
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
OVI
2 - 0
SSR
76%
17%
8%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
ATH
1 - 0
OVI
85%
11%
4%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | -1 |