CD Lugo vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1997 |
COL
1 - 0
LUG
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
LUG
2 - 1
SPB
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
RCF
1 - 0
LUG
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
LUG
1 - 0
MAR
82%
14%
5%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
MAN
3 - 2
LUG
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1997 |
ARA
0 - 4
GET
35%
30%
35%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1997 |
TAL
1 - 0
ARA
62%
23%
15%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1997 |
ARA
0 - 1
DEP
33%
28%
39%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
ARA
0 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
ROB
3 - 0
ARA
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |