CD Lugo vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
22.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
COR
3 - 0
LUG
28%
32%
40%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1994 |
PON
1 - 1
LUG
43%
28%
29%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
LUG
2 - 3
SSR
48%
29%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
UPL
1 - 1
LUG
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
LUG
2 - 0
SPB
50%
28%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
ARA
3 - 3
AVI
60%
24%
17%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
ROB
0 - 0
ARA
52%
25%
22%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
ARA
1 - 1
AVI
60%
23%
17%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
REA
0 - 1
ARA
61%
21%
17%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1994 |
ARA
6 - 2
ALC
90%
8%
2%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |