CD Lugo vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 0
LUG
53%
27%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LUG
2 - 0
REC
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
HUE
3 - 0
LUG
55%
26%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 2
SPO
22%
27%
51%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CCF
1 - 0
LUG
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NUM
2 - 0
RAC
38%
28%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 0
NUM
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NUM
3 - 0
XER
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NUM
0 - 0
MIR
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
REC
2 - 0
NUM
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |